Mexico’s slow football indicates England could join rare club of winners at the Azteca
Mexicoe have played at a relaxed tempo, but England have the pace to pose a significant threat
It is so rare for Mexico to lose a competitive fixture at the Azteca that the two examples have their own Wikipedia page. The tournament co-hosts are the only team other than Spain who are yet to concede a goal at the 2026 World Cup. These facts will concern England and their supporters before their last-16 tie on Sunday evening (1am Monday BST).
But these statistics need context. While Mexico held Portugal to a goalless draw in a friendly at the Azteca Stadium this year, most of the competitive fixtures there have been against a far lower standard of opposition.
The teams they have faced in the World Cup have underwhelmed too. South Africa are 60th in the Fifa rankings, the South Korean president called for an investigation into his country’s dismal showing and Czechia lost to Faroe Islands in qualifying. Ecuador finished second in Conmebol qualification, but did so with 14 goals scored in 18 games, so do not pose the same level of threat as England.
A valid concern is the ability of England players to perform at altitude when they are not familiar with doing so. The Azteca is 2,240 metres above sea level, an utterly alien height to footballers accustomed to playing in Europe.
“The recommendation is you either go 10 days before – which is too long for us – or last minute, which is not allowed [by Fifa],” Tuchel said this week. England will have to find a way to cope.
One element of the physicality of the game may fall in their favour. Opta use two metrics to assess a team’s style of play: direct speed and passes per sequence. The former is defined as “average speed of ball movement towards opponent goalline during sequence (in metres per second),” with a sequence being “passages of play that belong to one team and are ended by a defensive action, a stoppage in play or a shot.”
The two statistics naturally tend to correlate. Some teams will get the ball forward quickly without need for patient buildup, others will make slower progress upfield while retaining possession. Are you Wimbledon in the 1980s or Spain in the early 2010s? You can’t be both.
If not as extreme as those examples, the teams England and Mexico have faced at the World Cup have broadly fallen on either end of that spectrum.
Mexico have played slow football against slow teams. The buildup to their one Opta-defined fast break goal, scored by Julián Quiñones against Czechia, looked like a gentle stroll in the country rather than a rampant bolt upfield.
Group A opponents South Korea had the lowest direct speed of all 48 teams, with South Africa and Mexico also in the bottom seven. By contrast, only six teams have moved upfield faster than England’s opponents Ghana, with the Democratic Republic of the Congo just outside the top 10.
Altitude has probably been influential in this for Mexico’s matches and will be a factor again in the England game. If England can handle that reasonably well, their faster players should pose a threat with which the co-hosts may not be able to cope.
At the very least they should be able to match the relaxed pace Mexico have played. It could lead to England being added to a very exclusive Wikipedia page.